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Sun. Aug 3rd, 2025
Yatırımcılar Fed’in faiz artırımını beklerken hisse senetleri battı

Dow 313 puandan veya %1’den fazla düştü. S&P 500 günü %1,1 düşüşle kapatırken, teknoloji ağırlıklı Nasdaq yaklaşık %1 kayıpla tamamladı.
Karmaşık olan yeni bir konut raporu dışında yatırımcıların odaklanabileceği çok fazla ekonomik veri de yoktu. Ağustos ayı için konut başlangıçları Temmuz ayına göre %12’den fazla arttı, ancak inşaat izinleri %10 düştü.
Konut rakamlarının Çarşamba günü başka bir faiz artırımı açıklayacak olan Fed politika yapıcılarının fikirlerini değiştirmesi pek olası değil. Piyasa, yüzde 85’lik bir art arda üçüncü dörtte üç oranında bir artış ihtimalini fiyatlıyor.
Ancak, Fed’in daha da agresif olacağına ve esas olarak devam eden enflasyon baskıları nedeniyle, oranları benzeri görülmemiş bir tam yüzde puanı veya 100 baz puan artıracağına inananlar var.

OptionMetrics nicel araştırma başkanı Garrett DeSimone, “Tüketici fiyat endeksi raporu, Fed’in nasıl davranacağı konusunda bir belirsizlik düzeyi getirdi” dedi. DeSimone, Fed’in faiz oranlarını 100 baz puan artırması gerektiğini düşündüğünü söyledi, bu “Bant-Aid zammını söküp atmak” olacak bir hareket.

Daha yüksek oran beklentileri, uzun vadeli tahvil getirilerini de yukarı çekti. 10 yıllık ABD Hazinesi, geri çekilmeden önce Salı günü bir noktada %3.6’ya ulaştı. Bu, Şubat 2011’den bu yana en yüksek seviye.

Salı günkü piyasa satışları, haftaya başlamak için mütevazı bir ralliyi takip ediyor. Hisse senetleri, günün çoğu için başa baş seviyelerine yakın seyrettikten sonra Pazartesi günü işlem seansının sonunda yükseldi.
Ancak piyasa, geçtiğimiz haftadan gelen şok edici bir kazanç uyarısının ardından düşen zorlu birkaç gün geçirdi. FedEx (FDX)Bu da küresel ekonominin ve Kurumsal Amerika’nın sağlığı hakkında daha fazla endişe uyandırdı.

Bir çevrimiçi aracı kurum olan Webull’un CEO’su Anthony Denier, “Piyasalarda hâlâ çok sayıda FedEx kalıntısının düştüğünü görüyoruz” dedi. “Ekonomi söz konusu olduğunda ulaşım stokları kömür madeninde bir kanarya gibidir.”

Yatırımcılar giderek gerginleşiyor. Yedi piyasa duyarlılığı göstergesine bakan CNN İş Korku ve Açgözlülük Endeksi, Korku bölgesine daha da kaydı.

By admin

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