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Sun. Aug 3rd, 2025
Analist, PH peso için ciddi bir düşüş görmüyor

Filipin pesosu geçen hafta ABD doları karşısında bir miktar değer kaybederken, bir analist mevcut ekonomik zemin göz önüne alındığında yerel para biriminin hala büyük ölçüde düşmediğini düşünüyor.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp.’un baş ekonomisti Michael Ricafort, gazetecilere gönderdiği bir e-postada, pesoyu destekleyen faktörler arasında küresel ham petrol fiyatlarının 4,5 ayın en düşük seviyelerine inmesi ve Rusya-Ukrayna ihtilafının maliyet artışlarını silmesi olduğunu söyledi; ve 10 yıllık ABD Hazine verimlerinin net gevşemesi, 14 Haziran 2022’de 11 yılın en yüksek seviyesi olan yüzde 3.5’ten yüzde 3.04’e indirildi.

“Son zamanlarda genel olarak daha iyi olan yerel ekonomik verilerden sonra peso da daha güçlü: daha dar bütçe açığı; daha az net yabancı portföy yatırımı/sıcak para çıkışları; Temsilciler Meclisi’ndeki reform tedbirlerinde bazı ilerlemeler (madencilikle ilgili vergi reformu önerileri, kamyonetler için vergi muafiyetini rasyonalize etmek, diğerleri arasında” diye ekledi.

Ancak Ricafort, peso’nun yedi ay boyunca ABD doları karşısında değer kaybettiğini kaydetti.

“İçin [August 2022]Temmuz 2022’de %0,155 veya %0,3’ten sonra peso ABD doları karşısında yedinci ay boyunca yüzde 0,89 veya 1,6 oranında değer kaybetti; P2.605 veya Haziran 2022’de yüzde 5; Mayıs 2022’de P0.18 veya yüzde 0.3; Nisan 2022’de P0.45 veya yüzde 0.9; Mart 2022’de P0.47 veya yüzde 0.9; Ricafort, Şubat 2022’de yüzde 0,32 veya yüzde 0,6” dedi.

En son haberleri alın


gelen kutunuza teslim edildi

Manila Times’ın günlük haber bültenlerine kaydolun

Bir e-posta adresiyle kaydolarak, Hizmet Koşullarını ve Gizlilik Politikasını okuduğumu ve kabul ettiğimi onaylıyorum.

2022’nin başından bu yana peso, 2021 sonundaki 50.999 P’den toplam 5.021 P ya da yüzde 9.8 oranında zayıfladı.

Bunun Şubat 2020’den bu yana en yüksek seviye olduğunu, ancak 2019 sonundaki yüzde 4,00’lık pandemi öncesi seviyenin ve Mart 2019’da veya pandemiden bir yıl önce yayınlanan pandemi öncesi yüzde 4,75’in hala altında olduğunu söyledi.

Bununla birlikte, denizaşırı Filipinlilerden gelen havalelerde beklenen mevsimsel artış ve özellikle Noel döneminde pesoya dönüştürülen ihracat satış gelirleri, bu dördüncü çeyrekte peso döviz kurunu artıracaktır. Ricafort, bunların son birkaç yılda veya on yılda tekrar eden eğilimlere dayandığını söyledi.


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